Big Bets and Black Swans 2014

President Obama has just three years left in office to define his legacy in world affairs. He's facing a number of critical challengesthe ongoing war in Syria, the Iran nuclear negotiations, an enigmatic North Korea and other significant crises in world affairs. The president's advisors are busy devising policy recommendations aimed at grappling with these thorny issues. From these, the president must decide which priorities to pursue and how to best exercise U.S. power and influence to manage a